为深入研究在资本约束下货币政策对中国商业银行的信贷风险影响,本文选取225家中国商业银行2007—2017年非平衡面板数据,采用GMM动态面板模型进行实证检验,结果发现:宽松的货币政策降低了商业银行的信贷风险,而紧缩的货币政策导致信贷风险的提高,对于上市商业银行来说,信贷风险与货币政策显著相关,而非上市商业银行不存在显著相关性。这一新发现在一定程度上丰富了货币政策对信贷风险影响的研究文献,为决策部门调整货币和资本监管政策,注重银行异质性和资本充足特征,实行差异化的货币政策和资本监管政策提供了参考。
In order to further study the impact of monetary policy on credit risk of commercial banks in China under capital constraints,this paper selects 225 unbalanced panel data of commercial banks in China from 2007 to 2017 and uses the GMM dynamic panel model to test the empirical resultsThe conclusions showing as follows are distincive from many traditional research resultsSpecifically,under the states loose monetary policy,commercial banks credit styles are differentFor listed commercial banks,there is a significant correlation between monetary policy and credit risk;while for non listed commercial banks,there is no significant correlationThis new discovery enriches the literature on the impact of monetary policy on credit risk to a certain extent,and provides a reference for policy makers to adjust monetary and capital regulatory policies,pay attention to the characteristics of heterogeneous and bank capital adequacy,and implement differentiated monetary and capital regulatory policies.