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基于三阶段超效率SBM-GML的中国畜牧业全要素碳生产率演变特征及影响因素

基于三阶段超效率SBM-GML的中国畜牧业全要素碳生产率演变特征及影响因素

ISSN:1007-4333
2025年第30卷第7期
杜瑞瑞1;吴昊1;贺婷1;宁心怡1;赵敏娟1, 2 DU Ruirui1;WU Hao1;HE Ting1;NING Xinyi1;ZHAO Minjuan1, 2
1.西北农林科技大学 经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100;2.西安财经大学,西安 710100 1.College of Economic and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China;2.Xi’an University of Finance and Economics, Xi’an 710100, China

为准确评估畜牧业低碳生产绩效,并揭示其时空分异特征及影响因素,利用三阶段超效率SBM和GML指数,对2001—2020年中国31个省(市、自治区)畜牧业全要素碳生产率进行测算及影响因素分析(统计数据未含港澳台地区,下同);并运用面板回归模型,进一步揭示畜牧业技术进步、技术效率和规模效率变化在改善投入产出上的偏向性及作用效果。结果表明:1)中国畜牧业低碳生产效率实现3.33%的年均增长,但总体水平不高(0.695)且区域差异明显,呈现“华南区>黄淮海区>东北区>青藏区>长江中下游区>西北及长城沿线区>西南区”的格局;2)畜牧业全要素碳生产率增长主要源于技术进步和规模经济,劳动力投入效率和碳排放效率低下是畜牧业全要素碳生产率偏离生产前沿的主要原因;3)畜牧业技术进步偏向于促进要素集约利用,对碳排放效率的影响并不显著,技术效率对畜牧业碳排放效率有显著的正向影响;4)经济发展、政府支持、牧业产业结构以及科技创新对畜牧业全要素碳生产率均有显著影响。

To accurately evaluate the low-carbon production performance of animal husbandry and reveal its spatial-temporal differentiation characteristics and influencing factors, based on the three-stage super-efficiency SBM and GML index, the total factor carbon productivity in animal husbandry and its influencing factors were determined and analyzed in 31 provinces in China from 2001 to 2020(The data do not include those of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan regions. The same below). A panel regression model was used to reveal further the bias and effect of technological progress, technical efficiency, and scale efficiency changes on improving input-output in animal husbandry. The results showed that: 1) China's low-carbon production efficiency in animal husbandry achieved an average annual growth rate of 3.33%, but the overall level was not high (0.695) and the regional differences were obvious, showing a pattern of "South China >Huang-Huai-Hai >Northeast >Qinghai-Tibet >Middle-lower Yangtze River >Northwest and along the Great Wall >Southwest"; 2) The growth of total factor carbon productivity in China's animal husbandry industry is mainly due to technological progress and economies of scale, and the low efficiency of labor input and carbon emission is the main reason for the deviation of total factor carbon productivity from the production frontier; 3) The current technological progress in animal husbandry tends to promote intensive utilization of factors and has no significant impact on carbon emission efficiency, while the technical efficiency has a significant positive impact on the improvement of carbon emission efficiency in animal husbandry; 4) Economic development, government support, animal husbandry industry structure and scientific and technological innovation all have significant effects on total factor carbon productivity of animal husbandry.

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ISSN:1007-4333
2025年第30卷第7期

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