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ISSN:0002-9149
1986年第57卷第1期
L Ong,S Green,P Reiser,J Morrison
1. Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, North Shore University Hospital, Manhasset, USA;2. Department of Medicine, Cornell University Medical College, New York, New York, USA;1. Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Maryland, Baltimore;2. Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN;3. Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN;4. Division of Clinical Core Laboratory Services, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN;5. Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN;1. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva y Grandes Quemados, Hospital Universitario de Getafe, Getafe, Madrid, España;2. Servicio de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Universitario Clínico San Carlos, Madrid, España;1. Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA;2. Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA;3. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, CA;4. Department of Nephrology, Kaiser Permanente Oakland Medical Center, Oakland, CA;5. Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA;6. Department of Health Research and Policy, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA;1. MEMS Center, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China;2. Key Laboratory of Micro-Systems and Micro-Structures Manufacturing, Ministry of Education, Harbin 150001, China;1. Department of General Practice, Center of Expertise Palliative Care–Utrecht, Julius Center for Healthcare Sciences and Primary Care, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands;2. Department of Medical Oncology, Cancer Center University Medical Center–Utrecht, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands

To examine the prognostic value of early radionuclide imaging in patients with transmural acute myocardial infarction, 222 patients in Killip class I and II were studied prospectively within 24 hours of the onset of symptoms. The 30-day mortality rate for the entire group was 11% (25 of 222). Univariate analysis indicated that an initial radionuclide left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) of less than 0.30 was associated with the greatest relative risk (RR = 6.6), although the percent of abnormally contracting regions (RR = 3.9) and thallium-201 defect index (RR = 3.3) were also significant risk factors. Stepwise logistic regression indicated that addition of EF resulted in the greatest improvement over the best clinical model (Killip class and chest radiographic findings) for the prediction of 30-day mortality (chi 2 improvement = 12.8, p less than 0.0005). Using the optimal model for prediction of mortality (EF and Killip class), a high-risk group with a 30-day mortality rate of 39% (90-day mortality 47%) and a low-risk group with a 30-day mortality rate of 3% (90-day mortality 4%) was identified. In clinically stable patients with transmural acute myocardial infarction, early assessment of EF in conjunction with clinical evaluation, is a valuable method for early identification of high-risk subsets.

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ISSN:0002-9149
1986年第57卷第1期

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